Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.156054 0.177754 0.201822 0.230573 0.264081 0.302018 0.348388
2026-01-25 0.121257 0.149903 0.184786 0.230728 0.290134 0.365029 0.467659
2026-02-01 0.100887 0.132122 0.172773 0.230243 0.310512 0.420310 0.584769
2026-02-08 0.086454 0.118419 0.162246 0.227810 0.325286 0.467898 0.698104
2026-02-15 0.075633 0.107532 0.153220 0.224919 0.337388 0.511861 0.812810
2026-02-22 0.069220 0.101802 0.150361 0.230012 0.361369 0.576760 0.972758
2026-03-01 0.062063 0.093917 0.143020 0.226667 0.370723 0.618683 1.101138
2026-03-08 0.056839 0.088316 0.138386 0.226770 0.385374 0.671389 1.259417
2026-03-15 0.052373 0.083369 0.134119 0.226703 0.399354 0.724703 1.429827
2026-03-22 0.049430 0.080569 0.133017 0.231873 0.423438 0.800809 1.663984
2026-03-29 0.046556 0.077554 0.131150 0.235281 0.444471 0.874263 1.909542
2026-04-05 0.043933 0.074689 0.129191 0.238168 0.464744 0.949487 2.177519
2026-04-12 0.041895 0.072725 0.128755 0.244167 0.492882 1.048170 2.532639
2026-04-19 0.039360 0.069616 0.125868 0.244905 0.509979 1.125547 2.855976
2026-04-26 0.036947 0.066500 0.122629 0.244461 0.524332 1.199214 3.191033
2026-05-03 0.034543 0.063176 0.118632 0.241866 0.533275 1.261270 3.511470
2026-05-10 0.032325 0.060014 0.114643 0.238773 0.540520 1.320411 3.841774
2026-05-17 0.031141 0.058792 0.114482 0.244225 0.569620 1.443860 4.420473
2026-05-24 0.029226 0.055929 0.110616 0.240643 0.575214 1.503366 4.803411
2026-05-31 0.027796 0.053942 0.108426 0.240754 0.590522 1.594274 5.332193
2026-06-07 0.026465 0.052052 0.106269 0.240682 0.605362 1.687203 5.904796
2026-06-14 0.025664 0.051223 0.106372 0.246218 0.636753 1.838921 6.774012
2026-06-21 0.024774 0.050123 0.105762 0.249867 0.663433 1.982122 7.671947